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Monday, September 20, 2010

Expect to See Paired Numbers Every 1 in 3 Lottery Drawings

If you're a fanatical dreamer about winning a big lottery jackpot, there's no doubt that you have considered playing paired numbers as a strategy for winning.

By pairs, we mean a drawing sequence that contains at least 2 numbers in a row: 1-2, 2-3, ... 55-56.

And if you study drawing results, you will notice that these type of numbers patterns occur very often. In fact, during the past 26 Powerball and Mega Millions drawings, we find this happened 10 times in each lottery. This equals or 38.5% of the time.

However, when we calculate the combinatorial  number of occurrences, we learn that there are:
  • 1,364,200 paired combinations in Mega Millions (35.7% of the population), and
  • 1,697,080 paired combinations in Powerball (33.9% of the population)
Based on these numbers, we learn that it is definitely normal for us to expect to see paired numbers approximately once in every three drawings.

JL...........
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Monday, August 30, 2010

South Dakota and Delaware Spend the Most Per Capita on Lottery Tickets (Lottery Trivia Answer 2010-13)

Last Week's Trivia Question #2010-13 was: 
Using the answers of our past two weeks, we can divide a States lottery ticket sales by its population to determine:
  • Which States sell the most lottery tickets per capita?
  • Which States sell the fewest lottery tickets per capita?
  • Do you think sales are based on population alone?
  • Or, are sales based on the desire of people wanting to win a jackpot prize?
To answer the above, we referred to the Lottery Sales and State population links in the previous posts, and found that:
  • The top 5 States (1-5) that spend the most on lottery tickets per capita are: South Dakota, Delaware, Massachusetts,  New York, and Georgia. The next five (6-10) are: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Florida, Michigan, and Ohio.
  • The States spending the least on lottery tickets per capita are: Idaho, Nebraska, Montana, North Dakota, and North Carolina.
  • Based on the results of these rankings, we clearly conclude that sales are not based on State populations. For example, South Dakota spends approximately $0.853 per person on lottery tickets, but it ranks in the bottom 5 States in population. Whereas, California, who has the largest population, only spends $0.097 per person on tickets. 
  • Observing the above results, we realize that a State's overall desire to win a jackpot prize plays an important role in the amount of lottery tickets that are bought in a State. Desire to win is important in the top 5 States and others. For example, Vermont spends $0.170 per person verses $0.155 in Texas.
    JL.....

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    Tuesday, August 24, 2010

    Are Lottery Sales Based on State Populations? (Lottery Trivia Question 2010-13)

    This week's Lottery Trivia Question is about U.S. Lottery Sales in General.

    Our Trivia Question #2010-13 is: 
    Combining the trivia questions and answers of the past two weeks, we can now determine:
    • Which States sell the most lottery tickets per capita?
    • Which States sell the fewest lottery tickets per capita?
    • Do you think sales are based on population alone?
    • Or, are sales based on the desire of people wanting to win a jackpot prize?
    Enter your answer by leaving a Comment to this post below. Leave your name, and if you have a website or blog, provide it's URL and name.

    We will provide the correct answer next Monday, August 30th, and will post your name and a URL link back to your site.

    JL.........
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    Monday, August 23, 2010

    California and Vermont Have Largest & Smallest Lottery Populations (Lottery Trivia Answer 2010-12)

    Last Week's Trivia Question #2010-12 was: 
    To help us understand whether states with the largest populations sell the most lottery tickets, we need to identify various State populations. So, last week, we asked:
    • Which lottery selling States have the largest population? (most amount of people)
    • Which States have the smallest population? (the least amount of people)
    Based on the 2009 revision of the WorldAtlas.com , we found that:
    • The top 5 States (1-5) ranked by biggest Population are: California, Texas, New York, Florida, and Illinois. The next five (6-10) were: Pennsylvania, Ohio, Michigan, Georgia, and North Carolina.
    • And, the States with the fewest number of people (ranking 43-50) were: Montana, Delaware, South Dakota, Alaska, North Dakota, Vermont, and Wyoming. (Note that since neither Alaska nor Wyoming sponsor a state lottery, we have expanded this list to include the bottom five states that do have a lottery). 
      JL.....
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      Tuesday, August 17, 2010

      What States Have the Largest Population? (Lottery Trivia Question 2010-12)

      Summary Category:U.S. State Population Maps Ca...Image via Wikipedia
      This week's Lottery Trivia Question is about U.S. Lottery Sales in General.

      Our Trivia Question #2010-12 is: 
      Continuing with last weeks theme, we now wish to identify which Lottery States have the biggest and smallest population.  This will help to give us a better understanding of whether lottery sales are purely a function of demographics or desire to win. So, we ask:
      • Which lottery selling States have the largest population? (most amount of people)
      • Which States have the smallest population? (the least amount of people)
      Enter your answer by leaving a Comment to this post below. Leave your name, and if you have a website or blog, provide it's URL and name.

      We will provide the correct answer next Monday, August 23st, and will post your name and a URL link back to your site.

      JL.........
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      Monday, August 16, 2010

      New York Consistently Leads Yearly Lottery Sales (Lottery Trivia Answer 2010-11)

      Last Week's Trivia Question #2010-11 was: 
      Since lottery income has become an important source of hidden tax revenue, more and more States have been under pressure to increase sales and generate income. But, we wondered if the income received is simply a function of the population of the State. To help understand this, we first asked ourselves to identify:
      • What are the top 5 lottery revenue generating States? (those making the most money)
      • What are the bottom 5 lottery revenue generating States? (those making the least money)
      Based on information from Data360's 2006 Lottery Sales by State, we find the answers.
      • In order of yearly sales, the top 5 Lottery Sales are in: New York, Massachusetts, Florida, Texas, and California.  Near these are: Georgia, Pennsylvania, New Jersey, Ohio, and Michigan.
      • The bottom 5 States, i.e. those with the least Lottery sales are: Idaho, Nebraska, Vermont, Montana, and North Dakota (the lowest).
      Data for these answers can be confirmed by visiting the NASPL Sales and Profits Page which summarizes sales for Fiscal Years 2007 and 2008 as well.
        JL.....
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        Tuesday, August 10, 2010

        What States Sell the Most Lottery Tickets? (Lottery Trivia Question 2010-11)

        I took this photograph of a lottery document I ownImage via Wikipedia
        This week's Lottery Trivia Question is about U.S. Lottery Sales in General.

        Our Trivia Question #2010-11 is: 
        Lottery sales has become an important revenue generator for most U.S. States. Obviously, we assume that the states with the largest population sell the most tickets and make the most amount of money. To determine whether this is true or not, we ask::
        • What are the top 5 lottery revenue generating States? (those making the most money)
        • What are the bottom 5 lottery revenue generating States? (those making the least money)
        Enter your answer by leaving a Comment to this post below. Leave your name, and if you have a website or blog, provide it's URL and name.

        We will provide the correct answer next Monday, August 16st, and will post your name and a URL link back to your site.

        JL.........
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        Monday, August 9, 2010

        Our New Template

        Last week, after months of reviewing a variety of background images, we settled on Google's Template Designer Simple Template with the bookshelf background.

        We chose this for a few reasons:
        • The classic color scheme.
        • The title font.
        • The bookshelf background provides a collective series.
        • We liked it.
        While the look may be a bit more professional and classic, our articles will always be progressive and informative.  Playing the lottery with the intent of winning a jackpot requires research and strategies. We hope that our articles continue to inspire you and help you fulfill your dreams.
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        Monday, August 2, 2010

        Huge Disparity in California's Mega Million Payouts

        Betting on the Favorite, an 1870 engravingImage via Wikipedia
        In last Friday's Mega Millions drawing, nobody won the jackpot, but 4 separate tickets matched all five of the white balls and claimed the 2nd place price. Two tickets were sold in Illinois, 1 in New York, and 1 in California.

        Typically, the payout for this prize level is $250,000. This is true in all states except California, which determines the prize levels on a pari-mutuel basis. So, while 3 of the 4 winners will each receive $250,000, the one winner in California will only get $182,348.

        That's a difference of $67,652 or 27% less!

        In theory, one can argue that pari-mutuel payouts are most beneficial to players. But, looking at the 9 different drawing results for the month of July 2010, seven paid out substantially less than $250K, and only two paid out more than $300K.  The highest allocation was $342.9K, but there were no winners that time, so nothing was paid out.

        While California's calculation of payout may be correct, I believe that players in California who win big prizes actually lose a lot of money to the State. Remember, the State sets the prize breakdown and doesn't share the leftover money with the players. So one must ask the question:

        Where Does the Mega Millions Money Really Go?

        JL......
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        Tuesday, June 29, 2010

        Lotto Max: Why Only 49 Maxmillions Drawings?

        Introduction
        The most attractive aspect of the Lotto Max game is the MAXMILLIONS feature which is triggered when the Jackpot pool exceeds the C$50 million cap. For each million above that level, a separate Maxmillions number is drawn, thus giving multiple players the opportunity to win (or share) additional C$1M prizes as well. Therefore, it is no wonder that Canadian lottery players flocked to the game the past few weeks. With the advertised prizes of:

        C$50 Million + 55 Maxmillions

        for the June 25, 2010 drawing, tickets were selling at an unprecedented pace.

        However, you can imagine the disappointment players experienced when only 49 MAXMILLIONS results were posted.

        What happened to the remaining 6 
        advertised Maxmillions numbers?

        This post examines this question and attempts to provide answers to the bewildered population.


        Why Disappointment?
        When a product is advertised, the purchasing public expects the seller to truthful in the product description and trusts that the product will be delivered as described. The advertised June 25th Lotto Max prize offerings were C$50M + 55 Maxmillions. However, only 49 Maxmillions were delivered. That's a difference of C$6 million and represents a large amount of money.

        Additionally, the missing 6 Maxmillions numbers represented the opportunity for 6 more players to win a million dollars. By not delivering as advertised, opportunities were lost and dreams denied.


        Money Was Available for 55 Maxmillions on June 25th
        The table below summarizes the Lotto Max money raised and paid out during the previous cycle. As shown, the advertised jackpot began at C$10M on April 30th and continued to grow until the C$50M cap was reached on June 4th. Thereafter, the jackpot remained constant and estimated Maxmillions offerings appeared from June 11th onward. Below that are: the 7/7 jackpot prize carry over amounts; the current drawing 7/7 prize pool; and the 6/7+bonus prize pools. These three rows are added together to determine the actual amount of money available to be paid out in that drawing. From the cash available, jackpot and the net Maxmillions payouts are deducted, thus determining the 7/7 money pool to be carried forward to the next drawing.

        Table LM-1: Lotto Max Cash Raised and Paid
        Drawing 4/30 5/7 5/14 5/21 5/28 6/4 6/11 6/18 6/25 7/2
        Advertised Jackpot 10.0 15.0 20.0 30.0 40.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 50.0 30.0

        Maxmillions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 20.0 45.0 55.0 0.0
        Carry Over Jackpot 10.0 15.7 21.3 27.9 36.0 46.0 62.8 72.0 75.9 31.1
        7/7 Pool 5.7 5.6 6.3 8.1 10.0 17.8 24.3 33.9 34.2 n/a
        6/7+Bonus 0.0 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 n/a
        Cash Available 15.7 21.3 27.9 36.0 46.0 63.8 87.0 105.9 110.1 n/a
        Paid Jackpot 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 50.0 n/a
        Offered MaxMillions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 5.0 27.0 45.0 49.0 0.0
        Not Paid MaxMillions 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 4.0 12.0 15.0 20.0 0.0
        Carry Over to Next Dwg 15.7 21.3 27.9 36.0 46.0 62.8 72.0 75.9 31.1 n/a

        As shown, there was C$110.1 million available for Jackpot and Maxmillions winnings in the June 25th drawing. This amount exceeded the advertised C$50M+55 Maximillions by over C$5 million.

        However, the Lotto Max organization reduced the Maxmillions drawings by C$6 million, even though money was available. This does not seem like a rational decision since it had previously increased the Maxmillions offerings in the June 4th and 11th (shown in red).



        Why was the Maxmillions Reduced?
        Realizing that Lotto Max had money to payout the additional C$6 Maxmillions, we have theorized 4 possible reasons:
        1. Computer Error: The Lotto Max Game Conditions state: "and ILC will cause, immediately after the Main Draw, at least as many series of seven numbers (being seven different numbers) to be drawn at random from among all numbers from 1 to 49 (each such series of seven numbers is a "Special Series") as there are tranches of $1,000,000 in ..."  Perhaps this statement was misunderstood and the program that selects the Maxmillions drawings was erroneously written to stop at 49 drawings.
        2. Duplicate Numbers Selected: Continuing on the above quote, perhaps 55 Maxmillions drawings were generated, but 6 of those resulted in duplicate numbers, and were therefore rejected.
        3. Inflate Jackpot for Next Drawing: Lotto Max tickets sell when the jackpot is higher. By reducing the number of Maxmillions offerings, the additional C$6 million was intentionally used to help begin the next drawing sequence at C$30 million.
        4. Estimation Error: The Lotto Max organization has tried to explain that all jackpot offerings are estimates. When revenue does not perform as projected, the estimates need to be revised upward or downward. After a review the Table above, it seems unlikely that irrational estimates were forecast.


        Conclusion
        Having summarized the past 9 jackpot drawings, and understanding the results, we remain convinced that Lotto Max should have delivered the full 55 MAXMILLIONS drawings as advertised throughout the week prior to the June 25th drawing. Not delivering as advertised, players may become reluctant to spend C$5 for a ticket because they have lost confidence in the Lotto Max organization.

        However, we do not believe that Lotto Max acted maliciously, nor did it attempt to retain income as a hidden profit. All money collected has been allocated back to the players, but not in the sequence as expected.



        Reference
        All information derived in this article were obtained from the Canadian Lottery sites:

        Monday, June 28, 2010

        Maxmillions Discrepancy to be Described Tomorrow.

        Like many people, we have wondered why there were only 49 Maxmillions drawings in the last Lotto Max drawing when 55 were advertised. To help understand this discrepancy, we evaluated the all payout results since April 30th, when the jackpot offering began at C$10 million.

        What we discovered is that all monies have been reallocated back to the players, but not as expected using the Official Lotto Max Game Conditions.

        At present, we anticipate publishing our results on this blog tomorrow. In it we will explain how the jackpot has grown in comparison to the written rules.

        We have observed a few instances of apparent prize payout misappropriations which we cannot explain. Similiarly, we theorized why the Maxmillions drawing stopped at 49 and why the next Jackpot offering is set at $30 million.

        As you can understand, we are cautious in summarizing the past 9 drawing sequences. Thus, it is important to verify our results once again prior to distributing our conclusions.

        Tuesday, June 22, 2010

        Lotto Max Hysteria Continues

        There was no Lotto Max $50 million jackpot winner in last week's drawing, so this Friday's June 25th Lotto Max jackpot is $50 million plus $55 Maxmillions.

        That means 56 possible new millionaires!

        And naturally, Lotto Max Mania continues to roll through the country.

        Using the past two estimated ticket sales for this weeks projections, we expect:
        • A 25% chance of no Jackpot winner again.
        • Of the 55 Maxmillions drawings, about 13 will not have a winner, 6 will have three or more winners, 24 will have two winners, and 12 will have single winners.
        • Nearly 200 million combinations will be sold.
        Considering that there are only 604,800 seconds in seven days (the time between drawings), more than 300 combinations will be randomly generated each second. And knowing that most random number generators rely on a seed time to start, there is a good possibility that many of these numbers may be duplicates.

        But who cares. With so many top prizes being offered, you've got to give it a try.

        If you live in or around Canada,
        Play Lotto Max Now.

        We're crossing our fingers for you!

        Monday, June 21, 2010

        Prime Numbers for Use in Lotteries (Lottery Trivia Answer 2010-10)

        Last Week's Trivia Question #2010-10 was: 
        Prime Numbers are a small subset of numbers that all lotteries contain. Helping to educate our lottery players about various strategies, we presented the following questions last week:
        • What are Prime Numbers?
        • How can they be used for playing the lottery?
        A simple internet search yields the answers to these questions.
        • Prime numbers are those numbers which are divisible only by themselves and 1. The common set that lottery players will recognize are: 1, 2, 3, 5, 7, 11, 13, 17, 19, 23, 29, 31, 37, 41, 43, 47, 53, and 59. Note that the number one (1) is not a true prime number, we include it in this subset for lottery purposes only.
        • Since the use of this subset limits the number of choices a lottery player can make, the number of possible combinations is also minimized. For Powerball, all 18 numbers are playable. In Mega Millions, only 17 are valid; and in 649 games, only 16 are permitted.
        • Additionally all but the number two (2) are odd numbers. Thus players choosing this subset will be playing mostly all odd number or odd plus 1 even number.
        In our opinion, these numbers are important because players can systematically reduce their playing number field with confidence in knowing that the numbers have more than random significance.
          JL.....

          Wednesday, June 16, 2010

          Lotto Max Mania Sweeping through Canada

          With this Friday's June 11th Lotto Max jackpot offering of $50 million and $45 Maxmillions, millionaire fever is spreading through Canada like an uncontrollable epidemic. And it should!

          Even though Lotto Max tickets cost C$5 for 3 combinations,

          Should you buy one or more Tickets?
          Absolutely Yes!

          Considering an estimated population of approximately 25 million who are 20 years and older, there is a good likelihood that 1 in every 500,000 to 1,000,000 people will become overnight millionaires.

          Based on last weeks results, we project that at least 30 million tickets will be sold generating approx 90 million combinations, exceeding the mathematical 85.9 million possible combinations.

          Of these, we expect to see at least 10% duplicate numbers. This means that there is a 10% possibility that the primary $50 million jackpot will not be won.

          In either case, 45 more Max Millions numbers will be drawn, but only 5-10 will not produce a winner. The other 35-40 will have one or more matching tickets!

          So if you've ever dreamed of being a Millionaire,
          Go for it Now.

          With jackpot levels this high, this is the time to give your Luck a try.

          Tuesday, June 15, 2010

          What are Prime Numbers? (Lottery Trivia Question 2010-10)

          This week's Lottery Trivia Question is about Lottery Numbers in General.

          Our Trivia Question #2010-10 is: 
          One strategy for winning the lottery is to limit your playing numbers to a smaller subset. One such subset is "Prime Numbers".  Our questions this week are:
          • What are Prime Numbers?
          • How can they be used for playing the lottery?
          Enter your answer by leaving a Comment to this post below. Leave your name, and if you have a website or blog, provide it's URL and name.

          We will provide the correct answer next Monday, June 21st, and will post your name and a URL link back to your site.

          JL.........

          Tuesday, June 1, 2010

          A Dollar and a Dream

          One of the best lottery slogans was coined by the New York State Lottery:


          With  tomorrow night's Powerball jackpot prize of $260 million, I, for one, just can't stop dreaming. Already, I've spent $5 on tickets, and have dreaming about:
          • Waking up and finding I'm the winner.
          • Taking a trip to lottery headquarters and collecting my huge oversize check.
          • Buying that lake-side summer house I've always wanted.
          • Not having to work anymore.
          • Playing cards, eating out, planning and taking vacations.
          • Surprising my family with a share of the winnings.
          • Exercising all the time so I don't get too fat.
          • Paying all my bills.
          • Laughing all the way to the bank.
          And what about you? If you have a dream, share it with us. After all, it only costs a buck to play, but you get an infinite number of dreams for free.

          Tuesday, May 18, 2010

          UK Thunderball Lottery Format Change

          During the past week, we noticed an increased amount of traffic in our Thunderball pages. When we entered the results last Sunday, we learned why:

          Thunderball Changed.

          Beginning with the May 12, 2010 drawing:
          • The Jackpot prize was doubled from £250,000 to £500,000.
          • The number of white balls increased from 34 to 39.
          • The number of Thunderballs remained the same at 14.
          • And, a new £3 prize was added for those matching the Thunderball only.
          With these modifications, the overall chances of winning any prize decreased from 1 in 18 to 1 in 12. But, the total number of combinations more than doubled, from 3,895,584 to 8,060,598.

          We are busily updating our pages and expect to have all revisions completed by the end of next week. Afterwards, we will provide an updated blog report summarizing whether these changes are better or worse for the Thunderball players.

          Monday, May 17, 2010

          Lottery Players Bear Parimutuel Risk (Lottery Trivia Answer 2010-09)

          Last Week's Trivia Question #2010-09 was: 
          The winning prize amounts of many State lotteries, such as Pick 3 and 4, are paid based on parimutuel system while other States have fixed payout prizes. To help players better understand what this means, we asked:
          • What is a parimutuel Lottery Payout?
          • How does it differ than fixed payouts?
          • Are parimutuel payouts higher or lower than fixed payouts?
          Based on our research and experience, we have found that:
          • A parimutuel payout is one in which a fixed percentage of the amount received is paid back to the players. It was invented by Joseph Oller in 1867 and is typically used in race track betting.
          • This differs from a fixed winning payout in that the amount of a winning ticket fluxuates depending upon the number of winning tickets. For example, States such as North Carolina and Texas pay a flat $250 for a straight combination $0.50 winning ticket. However, New Jersey, California, and others pay the Pick 3 winners based on a parimutuel share of the winnings.
          • Parimutuel payouts might be much higher or lower than the corresponding fixed payout. A Pick 3 parimutuel ticket may pay as little as $75 or as high as $425 on the same $0.50 ticket.
          In our opinion, the primary difference is: Which Party bears the payout risk?
          • In the fixed payout system, the State bears the risk of having to payout more than it received. To counterbalance this, the State get to retain the implied profit when few payouts are required.
          • In a parimutuel environment, the player bears the risk because: the payout odds differ from number to number; and, the odds are not shown to the player.
          JL.....

          Tuesday, May 11, 2010

          What Does Parimutuel Mean? (Lottery Trivia Question 2010-09)

          This week's Lottery Trivia Question is about Lottery Prize Winning Payouts in General.

          Our Trivia Question #2010-09 is: 
          Many Pick 3, Pick 4, and other lottery prizes are paid out on a parimutuel basis while some are stated as a fixed amount.
          • What is a parimutuel Lottery Payout?
          • How does it differ than fixed payouts?
          • Are parimutuel payouts higher or lower than fixed payouts?
          Enter your answer by leaving a Comment to this post below. Leave your name, and if you have a website or blog, provide it's URL and name.

          We will provide the correct answer next Monday, May 17th, and will post your name and a URL link back to your site.

          JL.........

          Tuesday, May 4, 2010

          Pick 3 Release Announcement

          After months of development, we completed the programming of our newest offerings:

          Pick 3 Recommendations
          for the 
          North Carolina, New Jersey, and Texas Lotteries.

          The methodology is based on a modified Delta System, which consolidates numbers into groups of 8. The strategy requires a player to select a Delta, and then continually purchase all 8 numbers associated with it until you win. You can access our index to these pages at the post:

          Pick 3 Numbers Now Available at Lottery Power Picks


          For you use, our pages are split into 5 sections. At the upper right are the most recent drawing results and payouts. On the upper left are our recommended numbers for the next drawing.

          In the center, we provide detailed summaries of each Delta showing lapsed time between winning intervals.

          At the bottom, we present a suggested purchasing schedule that will help ensure players receive a positive cash flow. And lastly, we outline a guideline of steps to follow.

          We hope these newly created pages bring you luck and help to generate a profit for your enjoyment.

          JL............
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